PBA Commissioners Cup Finals: TNT Tropang Giga vs. Barangay Ginebra Game 7 Preview & Betting Odds

It all comes down to this. Game 7—the two greatest words in sports—will determine the 2025 PBA Commissioners Cup champion. TNT Tropang Giga and Barangay Ginebra San Miguel will battle for supremacy in front of a massive crowd at the Smart Araneta Coliseum on March 28.

A historic night awaits as TNT seeks to continue its dominance following back-to-back Governors’ Cup titles, while Ginebra is out for revenge and a return to the PBA throne.

Match Details

  • Date: March 28, 2025

  • Time: 7:30 PM (Including Overtime)

  • Location: Smart Araneta Coliseum

Everything is on the line in the PBA Commissioners Cup Finals. [PBA Images]
Everything is on the line in the PBA Commissioners Cup Finals. [PBA Images]

TNT vs. Ginebra Betting Odds from Melbet

  • Moneyline:

    • TNT Tropang Giga – 2.05

    • Barangay Ginebra San Miguel – 1.85

  • Total Points Over/Under (172.5):

    • Over – 1.89

    • Under – 1.89

  • Handicap:

    • TNT +1.5 – 1.87

    • Ginebra -1.5 – 1.909

Game 7 History & Team Insights

  • Barangay Ginebra’s Game 7 record: 3-1 in PBA Finals history.

  • TNT Tropang Giga’s Game 7 record: 2-2 in PBA Finals history.

  • Last game: TNT forced Game 7 with an 87-83 win in front of 17,654 fans at the Smart Araneta Coliseum.

  • Key stat: Ginebra’s structured defense has kept games low-scoring, while TNT’s clutch shooting has kept them competitive.

Player Mindset Heading Into Game 7

  • Scottie Thompson (Ginebra): “Best two words in sports: Game 7. It’s a players’ game, so all out na.”

  • Rondae Hollis-Jefferson (TNT): “It’s do-or-die for both sides. Time to give everything. I’m ready.”

Ginebra head coach Tim Cone acknowledged the challenge of bouncing back from a loss, while TNT head coach Chot Reyes emphasized the high stakes for his squad, with a potential grand slam on the line.

Match Analysis & Betting Insights

  • Ginebra’s playoff experience gives them a slight edge, but TNT’s ability to shoot from deep could change the game.

  • Expect a low-scoring game as both teams prioritize defense in this high-pressure matchup.

  • Momentum favors TNT after their Game 6 win, but Ginebra will look to use their championship pedigree to respond.

Best Bets & Expert Predictions

  • Barangay Ginebra -1.5 at 1.909 – Ginebra’s experience and balanced play give them the edge.

  • Under 172.5 at 1.89 – Both teams have emphasized defense, keeping scoring in check.

  • Final Score Prediction: Ginebra wins 84-79.

Exclusive Betting Offer from Melbet

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